Region and Topics
Yemen: U.S.-Saudi Arms Deal Tests the Truce
The News The United States approved an arms deal of about $2 billion for Saudi Arabia. This comes as the kingdom appears close to renewed fighting with the Houthis. The Houthis fired missiles at the airport in Abha, in…
Ethiopia’s Sea Access Doctrine: Security or Escalation?
News: Ethiopia has signaled that its pursuit of Red Sea access is no longer just economic policy but a core security doctrine wrapped in deterrence, technology, and national pride. The military establishment has entered…
A New Coordinated Attack on Mali: What Options Does the Military Council Have to Avoid Collapse?
News: Armed groups launched simultaneous attacks on Saturday, July 4, 2026, targeting five military positions across Mali: Aguelhok, Anefis, and Gao in the north; Sevare in central Mali; and Kenieroba in the south, 74…
Morocco: Growing Questions Around a Potential Power Transition
News: A report published by Islam Times on July 1 documented Moroccan domestic reactions to a Reuters report examining succession arrangements and developments within circles surrounding the royal institution. The report…
Somalia — Turkey Enters the Air War Against Al-Shabaab
The Issue Turkish armed forces and the Somali National Army conducted joint airstrikes in the Jowdi area of Lower Shabelle region, targeting caves, weapons depots, and hideouts belonging to al-Shabaab. The official…
The GERD — Why Is Egypt Setting “Conditions and Constants” Before Returning to Negotiations?
The Issue Egyptian Minister of Water Resources Hani Sewilam confirmed that Cairo will not return to any new negotiating track with Ethiopia except on the basis of clear “conditions and constants,” following an official…
Egypt — Mounting Debate Over Constitutional Amendment:
The Issue Debate is intensifying in Egypt over the possibility of amending the constitution again, having moved from the media sphere into spaces closer to parliamentary and party circles. The central question is not…
Sudan: A Country with Two Currencies
The News New Sudanese banknotes have begun circulating in areas controlled by the Rapid Support Forces, bearing the signature of Hussein Yahya Jangoul, “governor” of the parallel central bank in Nyala. On May 11, the…
The “Gold Strife” Between Egypt and Sudan
The “gold strife” crisis between Egypt and Sudan revolves around the overlap of three highly sensitive files: unregulated artisanal gold mining, the security of the Egyptian-Sudanese border, and the Sudanese war that has…
Qatar: How Gulf–Iran Arrangements Are Redrawing the Rules of Undeclared Deterrence
Press reports indicated that Qatar offered Iran a “secret deal” before the outbreak of the Islamic Republic’s war with the United States and Israel, under which it would halt gas production in exchange for an Iranian…
The Houthi–Shabaab Entanglement and Red Sea Security
The growing coordination between al-Shabaab and the Houthis represents an additional dimension that troubles Washington, because it links two distinct yet strategically connected theaters: the Horn of Africa and the Red…
Assab, Cairo, and Addis Ababa: The New Contest in the Horn
The hottest axis is the Egyptian–Eritrean rapprochement facing off against Ethiopia. On June 10, Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdel Aty met his Eritrean counterpart Osman Saleh in Cairo, with Egypt affirming that the…